On September 27, 2004 we found out why we keep getting vague warnings about terror alerts; haven't found Osama Bin Laden; and why Iraq is not a democratic paradise. It seems that the CIA was guessing. Its true. President Bush said so.
President Bush said that a National Intelligence Estimate compiled by the CIA was only a guess. The NIE said that at best there would be tenuous stability in Iraq and at worst a civil war. President Bush didn't like this so he tried to downplay the significance of the NIE. However, he talked up the NIE that said that Iraq could have weapons of mass destruction.
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